The Pros and Cons of a Taxpayer Bank
May 20, 2009
On the Nature & Philosophy of Financial Instability and Application to the Current Financial Crisis Part III
The Pros and Cons of a Taxpayer Bank
By Julian Sanchez, PhD
Read: Circuit Systems & our Financial Crisis – Part I
Read: Functions of Taxpayer Bank and the Market – Part II
The most attractive time for the taxpayer bank to purchase loans is when there is a significant drop in the price of the bank stock. In the case of National City Corp., (whose purchase by PNC Financial Services in late 2008 for about $5.2 billion in stock was supported by U.S. Treasury funds), the returns were as high as 1650% for the capital injected by the taxpayer bank. In a certain sense the taxpayer bank acts as a counterweight since the investment becomes more attractive the greater the fear in the market as the stock price of the bank becomes more depressed. This will place a floor on the stock price of the troubled bank when it needs it the most. Hence, the taxpayer bank will stabilize the financial system in much the same way as a counterweight causing a building to stabilize in a high wind. That is, the taxpayer bank incentive increases as the market spirals further downward (depressing the stock price). The increased likelihood of the taxpayer bank to invest in a downward spiral will cause investors not to panic and force the shorts (attempts to profit from an expected decline in price) to be more cautious, therefore stabilizing the market.
One main argument against forming a taxpayer bank is the implications concerning morale hazard. In essence, the concern is that a government bank acting as a backstop would encourage reckless lending by the rescued bank in order to secure short-term profits at the expense of its shareholders and customers. In general, this is a true statement; however, one can engineer the system such that this risk is eliminated as will be discussed later in this paper.
The taxpayer bank should be organized into two main groups. One group, referred to as the Hard Asset Manager, will manage financial instruments that have physical assets tied to them. This includes but is not limited to residential and commercial real estate, autos, etc. The second group, called the Soft Asset Manager, will manage financial instruments such as Credit Card Debt, MBSs (Mortgage Backed Securities), CDOs (Investment securities backed by bonds, loans, and other asset pools), SIVs (Structured Investment Vehicles that borrow money by issuing short-term securities at low interest and lend money by means of long-term securities that pay higher interest), etc., which might not involve the disposition of assets. In the next installment, we will discuss the role and purpose of each of these asset managers.
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Finally, January 20th is here!
Obama’s Inauguration
Our 44th President takes the oath of office. There was a trivial, momentary slip when Chief Justice John Roberts asked Obama to recite the first line of the oath in the incorrect order. Roberts said “execute the office of President of the United States faithfully,” rather than “faithfully executive.” The oath reads: “I do solemnly swear that I will faithfully execute the office of President of the United States, and will to the best of my ability, preserve, protect and defend the Constitution of the United States.” Obama paused and allowed Roberts to correct himself. Watch it:
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REMARKS OF PRESIDENT BARACK OBAMA
Inaugural Address
Tuesday, January 20, 2009
Washington, D.C.
My fellow citizens:
I stand here today humbled by the task before us, grateful for the trust you have bestowed, mindful of the sacrifices borne by our ancestors. I thank President Bush for his service to our nation, as well as the generosity and cooperation he has shown throughout this transition.
Forty-four Americans have now taken the presidential oath. The words have been spoken during rising tides of prosperity and the still waters of peace. Yet, every so often the oath is taken amidst gathering clouds and raging storms. At these moments, America has carried on not simply because of the skill or vision of those in high office, but because We the People have remained faithful to the ideals of our forbearers, and true to our founding documents.
Read more »
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Trillion-Dollar Deficits:
Obama Warns of Prospect for Trillion-Dollar Deficits “for Years to Come”
Slowing tax revenues and a historic bailout of the U.S. financial system will send the budget deficit soaring toward $1 trillion this year, President-elect Barack Obama said on 01-06-09, and the red ink stands to get substantially deeper if Obama wins approval of a massive economic stimulus plan.
Even if the package of spending and tax cuts helps restore the nation’s immediate economic health, Obama said, the government is likely to be left with “trillion-dollar deficits for years to come” unless policymakers “make a change in the way that Washington does business.”
“We’re going to have to stop talking about budget reform. We’re going to have to totally embrace it. It’s an absolute necessity,” the president-elect told reporters a day before the Congressional Budget Office is set to release its outlook for the coming year.
When President Bill Clinton left office in January of 2001 the federal budget was balanced. Now, after eight years of George W. Bush and the Republicans, we are faced with a failed economy and years of trillion dollar deficits. Now the National debt is $10.7 trillion (updated January 7, 2009)
REED MORE:
China Losing Taste for Debt From the U.S.
We Arrived at this Point Due to an Era of Profound Irresponsibility
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01/03/09: President-elect Obama’s Weekly Address
In this week’s weekly address, President-elect Barack Obama lays out the challenges that face us in the new year, and his plan for taking them on.
“We need an American Recovery and Reinvestment Plan that not only creates jobs in the short-term but spurs economic growth and competitiveness in the long-term,” he says. “And this plan must be designed in a new way—we can’t just fall into the old Washington habit of throwing money at the problem. We must make strategic investments that will serve as a down payment on our long-term economic future. We must demand vigorous oversight and strict accountability for achieving results. And we must restore fiscal responsibility and make the tough choices so that as the economy recovers, the deficit starts to come down. That is how we will achieve the number one goal of my plan—which is to create three million new jobs, more than eighty percent of them in the private sector.”
Watch the full address or read the text below:
Weekly Address
January 3, 2009
As the holiday season comes to end, we are thankful for family and friends and all the blessings that make life worth living. But as we mark the beginning of a new year, we also know that America faces great and growing challenges—challenges that threaten our nation’s economy and our dreams for the future. Nearly two million Americans have lost their jobs this past year—and millions more are working harder in jobs that pay less and come with fewer benefits. For too many families, this new year brings new unease and uncertainty as bills pile up, debts continue to mount and parents worry that their children won’t have the same opportunities they had.
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Obama: ‘Person Of The Year’
Time Magazine has named U.S. President-elect Barack Obama as the 2008 “Person of the Year.” Micahael Elliot, editor of Time International, discusses the magazine’s decision. Time said Obama earned its award “for having the confidence to sketch an ambitious future in a gloomy hour.” He showed “the competence that makes Americans hopeful he might pull it off.”
The magazine named four runners-up: Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson; French and current European Union President Nicholas Sarkozy; former Republican vice-presidential candidate and Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin; and Zhang Yimou, who organized the opening ceremonies of the Olympic Games in Beijing.
Last year’s winner was Russian Prime Minister Vladimir Putin.
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Obama “saddened” and “sobered” by Blagojevich
Complaint points to clash over Obama adviser
By: Alexander Bolton
Posted: 12/09/08 12:20 PM [ET]
President-elect Obama and Illinois Gov. Rod Blagojevich clashed over whether to appoint a senior Obama adviser to replace him in the Senate, according to a criminal complaint filed with a federal district court.
The adviser at the center of the dispute appears to have been Valerie Jarrett, whom Obama has tapped to serve as White House senior adviser and assistant to the president for intergovernmental relations and public liaison.
Obama’s advisers declined to give in to Blagojevich’s demands, prompting angry outbursts from the Illinois governor behind the scenes.
Blagojevich in a conversation intercepted by federal agents calls Obama a “motherf—-r” and dismisses Obama’s unwillingness to strike a deal: “F—k him.”
Rod Blagojevich’s nightmare before Christmas is only just beginning
Not every political scandal has these moments caught on tape
Blagojevich’s Removal Sought As Top Aide Quits
Illinois plunged deeper into turmoil Gov. Rod Blagojevich
McCain scolds GOP for whacking Obama over the Illinois corruption scandal: We should try to be working constructively together
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Obama Reveals HUD Cabinet Pick in Address
Barack Obama’s weekly address
By Christi Parsons December 14, 2008
Reporting from Washington — A Harvard-educated architect is Barack Obama’s choice to lead his housing agency, which the president-elect says will play a key role in tackling the mortgage crisis and helping families stay in their homes. Read the rest
President-elect Barack Obama used his weekly address to name New York City housing official Shaun Donovan as his secretary of Housing and Urban Development. (Dec. 13):
Good morning.
Earlier this week, we learned that the number of Americans filing their first claim for unemployment insurance rose to a nearly 30-year high. This news reflects the pain that’s been rippling across our entire economy. Jobs are being cut. Wages are being slashed. Credit is tight and people can’t get loans. In cities and towns all across this country, families enter a holiday season with unease and uncertainty. Read the rest
Watch the Video
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12/06/08: President-Elect Obama’s Weekly Address
Barack Obama addresses the job loss that our nation continues to endure and offers solutions to the challenges we face. For more information, visit http://change.gov.
Good morning
Yesterday, we received another painful reminder of the serious economic challenge our country is facing when we learned that 533,000 jobs were lost in November alone, the single worst month of job loss in over three decades. That puts the total number of jobs lost in this recession at nearly 2 million.
But this isn’t about numbers. It’s about each of the families those numbers represent. It’s about the rising unease and frustration that so many of you are feeling during this holiday season. Will you be able to put your kids through college? Will you be able to afford health care? Will you be able to retire with dignity and security? Will your job or your husband’s job or your daughter’s or son’s job be the next one cut?
Read more »
9
McCain: I pledged to him [Obama] tonight to do all in my power to help him lead us…
In defeat, McCain offers graceful end to rough campaign. McCain urged supporters not only to congratulate the president-elect, but to offer him help in getting the country over the massive economic problems it faces.
These are difficult times for our country. And I pledge to him tonight to do all in my power to help him lead us through the many challenges we face. I urge all Americans who supported me to join me in not just congratulating him, but offering our next president our good will and earnest effort to find ways to come together to find the necessary compromises to bridge our differences and help restore our prosperity, defend our security in a dangerous world, and leave our children and grandchildren a stronger, better country than we inherited.”
Read the whole Senator John McCain’s Concession Speech Transcripts
Though we believe one should not kick a man when he is down, please read why as conservatives we honestly believe that we are better off with Obama
Why John McCain lost the White House?
A major reason McCain lost is his continuous association with the Bush administration
Why McCain lost. “No one deserves it. You got to earn it. And Obama earned it”
From Republican “crusader”:
Will God bless America again?
“Now that the election is over isn’t it time that we become “one” USA again. Elections are for us to decide what direction we as individuals want to see our country to go. My man didn’t win but I hope my country did, we won’t agree with all that our new president proposes regardless if we voted for him or not. We all hope that his decisions are for what’s best for our country. I am an old cow-puncher that has seen many presidents come and go and none of them destroyed our country or way of life so lets all come together and work for the good old USA. In battle I didn’t ask the man next to me if he was a democrat or republican, I was just happy that he had an M-1 and we were both defending our country. Lets stop all this rancor and get behind our president and if the majority of us don’t agree with him in four years we will again have the opportunity to get rid of him. God bless the USA”
GOOD IDEA, GIVE OUR PRESIDENT-ELECT A CHANCE!!
Barack Obama will be faced with some of the greatest challenges ever to face a president. He needs our support. If he fails, we all fail, and we cannot afford to fail.
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